April 1, 2023

The Right to be Unequal

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Soak the Rich

In order to succeed … the poor need, most of all, the spur of their poverty.

George Gilder (1939), Wealth and Poverty, 1981.


Everything that is economically efficient is morally justified.


Yegor Gaidar (1956 – 2009)


Margaret Thatcher (1925 – 2013):
[The] pursuit of equality itself is a mirage.
What's more desireable and more practicable than the pursuit of equality is the pursuit of equality of opportunity.
And opportunity means nothing unless it includes the right to be unequal and the freedom to be different. …
I would say, let our children grow tall and some taller than others if they have the ability in them to do so.
Because we must build a society in which each citizen can develop his full potential, both for his own benefit and for the community as a whole …
(Let Our Children Grow Tall, Institute of SocioEconomic Studies, 15 September 1975)


Ronald Reagan (1911 – 2004):
The minimum wage has caused more misery and unemployment than anything since the Great Depression.
(1980)


Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, and Gabriel Zucman:
The bottom half of the adult population has thus been shut off from economic growth for over 40 years, and the modest increase in their post-tax income has been absorbed by increased health spending. …
[The] stagnation of bottom 50% incomes and the upsurge in the top 1% coincided with:
  • reduced progressive taxation,
  • widespread deregulation (particularly in the financial sector),
  • weakened unions, and
  • an erosion of the federal minimum wage.
(Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the United States, The Quarterly Journal of Economics 133, no. 2:553–609, May 2018)

Mean Wealth Holdings in the United States (2013)

(Adapted from Table 3: Edward Wolff, Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1962-2013: What Happened Over the Great Recession?, National Bureau of Economic Research, 2014, p 51)
PercentileNet Worth
P99-100$18,623,400
P90-99$2,266,400
P40-90$242,800
P0-40−$10,800


Income in the United States (1970)

(US Department of Commerce, Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1972, p 324)
Percentile% of Total Income
P50-100 (50%)77
P0-50 (50%)23


Income in the United States (2012)

Percentile# per 100,000 Taxpayers% of Total Income% of Total Income Tax
P99-100 (1%)1,00021.938.1
  P99.999-100 (0.001%)12.43.3
  P99.99-99.999 (0.009%)93.18.3
  P99.9-99.99 (0.09%)905.510.3
  P99-99.9 (0.9%)90010.919.5
P50-99 (49%)49,00067.059.1
P0-50 (50%)50,00011.12.8

peaceandlonglife:
The share of total US income going to the bottom 50% fell by more than half between 1970 and 2012 (from 23% to 11%).
(Looked at the other way, the income share of the top 50% rose from 77% to 89%.)
For a doubling of the income pie (equivalent to 2% annual growth in national income for 35 years) this amounts to:
  • a 131% rise in income for the top 50%, and
  • a 4% fall in income for the bottom 50%.
A rising tide does you no good if your boat is sinking faster than the water is rising.


Anna Stansbury & Lawrence Summers (1954):
[Since 1973 there has been] a 75% increase in labor productivity.
(Working Paper 24165, National Bureau of Economic Research, December 2017, p 2)

Robert Putnam (1941)


Over the four decades between 1974 and 2014, inflation-adjusted annual market income
  • fell $320 for households at the 10th percentile (the bottom tenth),
  • rose $388 for those at the 20th percentile (the bottom fifth),
  • rose $5,232 for those at the national median,
  • rose $75,053 for households in the top 5 percent,
  • rose $929,108 for those in the top 1 percent, and
  • rose $4,846,718 for those in the top 0.1 percent. …
If today’s income were distributed in the same way that 1970 income was distributed, it is estimated,
  • the bottom 99 percent would get roughly $1 trillion more annually, and
  • the top 1 percent would get roughly $1 trillion less. …

On issue after issue [since 1975, the Democrats have] remained mostly on the center-left, [while] the Republican center of gravity moved further and further to the right …
In other words, bipartisanship has disappeared from American politics over the last half century largely because the Republican Party has become steadily more extreme.
At least part of the explanation for this rightward shift is the investment by wealthy, highly conservative business elites in a sustained effort to shift American politics rightward, an effort signaled, symbolically at least, in a memo by Lewis F Powell, Jr in 1971, articulating a coordinated, long-term political strategy. …

[One] of the most robust findings of the ensuing half century of research is that most ordinary voters are ill-informed about the details of public issues, so much so that they entirely lack views on many issues of the day.
Most people have more urgent everyday things to worry about than policy debates. …
Partisan identification is more a tribal affiliation than an ideological commitment …
Shanto Iyengar, Tobias Konitzer, & Kent Tedin:
[The] most significant fault line in the second decade of the twenty-first century [in America] is not race, religion, or economic status but political party affiliation.
(The Home as a Political Fortress: Family Agreement in an Era of Polarization, The Journal of Politics 80, 4:1326–38, October 2018)
[People] are increasingly choosing their partners on the basis of political affiliation, even more than on the basis of education or religious orientation.
Over the last half century:
  • marriage across racial and religious lines has become much more common than either used to be, whereas
  • marriage across party lines has become much less common. …

This increasing agreement between husband and wife about politics in turn strengthens the inheritance of party identity by the next generation, since we know that children are more likely to inherit party identity when both parents agree politically.
In this very intimate way, over the last half century partisanship has gradually replaced religion as the main basis of “tribal” affiliation in America. …

In 1960, [George Romney's salary as CEO of American Motors peaked at] just over $661,000 (roughly $5.5 million today). …
In 1960 … he refused a $100,000 bonus, and in a five-year period he turned down a total of $268,000 (roughly 20 percent of his total earnings during the period). …
Moreover, he paid over a third of his income in taxes.

Fifty years later, his son Mitt pulled in $21.7 million in 2010, roughly four times his father’s peak income.
Of this, he paid an effective tax rate of 13.9 percent, roughly one third the rate his father had paid.
We know of no evidence Mitt has ever voluntarily returned any of his compensation, though he and his wife gave away $3 million in charitable donations in 2010, including $1.5 million to the Mormon Church. …

[George Romney, as Nixon's] first secretary of housing and urban development (HUD) … exemplified the last gasp of progressive Republicanism.
Romney’s Republicanism didn’t see the world as a zero-sum contest between:
  • capital and labor,
  • white and black,
  • friend and enemy,
  • us and them.
As secretary of HUD, he was implacable that minorities deserved access to quality housing in affluent white suburbs.
But in the new Republican Party he had become a political liability, a fossil from earlier in the century, and he was forced from his position by Nixon in 1972.

(The Upswing: How America Came Together a Century Ago and How We Can Do It Again, 2020)

Mitt Romney (1947) [US Senator from Utah]:
There are 47% of the people
  • who will vote for [President Obama] no matter what …
  • who are dependent upon government,
  • who believe that they are victims …
  • who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them …
  • who believe they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, [and that] the government should give it to them. …
These are people who pay no income tax. …
[My] job is not to worry about those people.
I’ll never convince them that they should take personal responsibility and care for their lives.
(David Corn, Romney Tells Millionaire Donors What He Really Thinks of Obama Voters, Mother Jones, 17 September 2012)

Tom Bergin


Financial Journalist, Reuters

In 1990, the average CEO of a company in the S&P 500 index of major firms earned around $3.7 million in 2018 prices.
In 2000, they received $22 million. …
One study calculated that the aggregate compensation paid by public companies to their top-five executives between 2001 and 2003 amounted to 10.3% of the aggregate earnings of these firms during the period.

In 1992 the average boss of a company in the FTSE 100 index of the biggest UK firms earned £450,000. …
By 2010, FTSE CEOs were earning an average £4.5 million.

In the more than a hundred economic studies of executive pay I have studied, I have not found one that explains how aligning the interests of shareholders and managers could help the managers make smarter choices.
As one former CEO who went on to teach at Harvard Business School said,
All the financial incentives in the world won’t transform CEOs into better decision makers. …

Efficient Markets Theory [EMT], which years later would win [Eugene] Fama a Nobel memorial prize, argued that stock markets were perfectly efficient and rational.
This meant that if share prices were languishing, it reflected the fact that investors had carefully considered all the evidence and concluded firms’ management was bad. …
By reframing the employment contract to make a manager’s experience reflect that of investors, [it was] argued that managers would, in working for their own benefit, simultaneously and almost incidentally perfectly serve shareholders’ interests.
The key to everything was to link pay to share prices.
[According to EMT] the stock market prices all relevant information about the performance of a company into its share price immediately.
This meant that one didn’t have to think about how to measure whether a manager did a good job: if they did, the share price would go up. …

Robert Shiller, who mapped the relationship between earnings and share prices across many decades and concluded markets were fundamentally irrational … ironically won the Nobel prize jointly with Eugene Fama in 2013 …
The Nobel prize committee tried to justify their decision to honour two men with diametrically opposed views by arguing that Fama was talking about the short term and Shiller about the long term, a distinction Shiller didn’t entertain.

(Free Lunch Thinking: How Economics Ruins the Economy, 2021)


Allison Gill: Blue dots in Red states

Parvyn Kaur Singh

Robert Douglas-Fairhurst

Octavia Butler

Child Goddess of Nepal

Generation F'd

Freeing Willy

Terminal Man

Andrew Solomon

March 11, 2023

Peace in Our Time

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In the beginning the Universe was created.
This has made a lot of people very angry and been widely regarded as a bad move.


Douglas Adams (1952 – 2001), The Restaurant at the End of the Universe, 1980.


If I had my way, I would build a lethal chamber as big as the Crystal Palace and lead in gently all the sick, the halt and the lamed.
And they would smile me a weary thanks.


D H Lawrence (1885 – 1930), 1908.


Nazi Party (NSDAP) Election Results

19282.6%
193018.3%
1932 (Jul)37.3%
1932 (Nov)*33.1%
1933 (Mar)**43.9%
*Last free elections
**Last contested elections


(Munich Agreement, 30 September 1938)

Adolf Hitler (1889 – 1945):
[The Jew] is and remains the eternal parasite, a freeloader and scrounger, foreever spreading like a bactarium, and wherever he appears, the host nation withers and dies away.
(Mein Kampf, 1925)

The hour will come at last in which the millions who despise us will stand by us, who with us will hail the new hard won, painfully acquired, German Reich we have created together, the new German kingdom of greatness and power and glory and justice.
(Election Campaign Launch, Berlin Sports Palace, 10 February 1933)

There will be no mercy now. …
Anyone who stands in our way will be butchered.
Every communist functionary will be shot where he is found.
The communist deputies must be hanged this very night.
Everyone in league with the communists is to be arrested.
Against the social democrats … too, there will be no more mercy.
(Reichstag fire, 27 February 1933)

On 30 January, [the day I was appointed Chancellor,] the die was cast in Germany.
And I don't think that our opponents, who were laughing then, are still laughing now!
(1933)

If international financial Jewry in and outside Europe should succeed in plunging the peoples into a world war again, the the result will not be the Bolehevization of the Earth and thus the victory of Judaism, but the annihilation of the Jewish race in Europe.
(30 January 1939)
(The Gates of Hell 1941 ‒ 1942, The Abyss: Rise and Fall of the Nazis, Episode 7, 2021)

Joseph Goebbels (1897 – 1945):
With regard to the Jewish question, the Fuhrer wants to wipe the slate clean.
That's not just a turn of phrase.
Global war is here, and the annihilation of world Jewry much be its necessary consequence.
(13 December 1941)


Franz von Papen (1879 – 1969) [Conservative Politician]:
We have hired [Hitler].
Within six weeks, we'll have pushed him so far into the corner, he will squeak.
(1933)


Otto Wels (1885 – 1930) [Social Democratic Politician]:
You can take our lives and our freedom, but you cannot take our honour. …
At this historic hour, we German Social Democrats pledge ourselves to the principles of humanity and justice, of freedom and socialism. …
We send greetings to the persecuted and oppressed.
We greet our friends in the Reich.
Their steadfastness and loyalty deserve admiration.
The courage with which they maintain their convictions and their unbroken confidence guarantee a brighter future.
(Reichstag, 23 March 1933)


Hannah Arendt (1906 – 75):
[The] Jewish moneylender [had] for centuries … been excluded from all greater business transactions and found his only opportunity in the economically unproductive and insignificant but socially important loans to people who had a tendency to live beyond their means. …

Which group of people would turn antisemitic in a given country at a given historical moment depended exclusively upon general circumstances which made them ready for a violent antagonism to their government.
But the remarkable similarity of arguments and images which time and again were spontaneously reproduced have an intimate relationship with the truth they distort.
We find the Jews always represented as
  • an international trade organization,
  • a world-wide family concern with identical interests everywhere,
  • a secret force behind the throne which degrades all visible governments
    • into mere façade, or
    • into marionettes whose strings are manipulated from behind the scenes.
Because of their close relationship to state sources of power, the Jews were invariably identified with power, and because of their aloofness from society and concentration upon the closed circle of the family, they were invariably suspected of working for the destruction of all social structures. …

The first international anti-Jewish congress took place in 1882 in Dresden, with about 3,000 delegates from Germany, Austria-Hungary, and Russia …
The Jews very clearly were the only inter-European element in a nationalized Europe.
It seemed only logical that their enemies had to organize on the same principle, if they were to fight those who were supposed to be the secret manipulators of the political destiny of all nations.
(The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951 / 1967)


Claudia Wallis:
[A] huge study published this past summer in the New England Journal of Medicine found that taking vitamin D for five years did not reduce the rate of fractures in healthy adults ages 50 and older.
That result built on earlier findings, led by the same team, that D supplements do not improve bone density (or, for that matter, lower the risk of cancer or heart disease).
An editorial accompanying the fracture study declared that it’s time for medical professionals to stop pushing these pills and quit ordering so many blood tests for vitamin D levels.
“Food and incidental sun exposure likely provide enough vitamin D for healthy adults,” says endocrinologist Meryl LeBoff of Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, who led the study.
(A Diet for Better Bones, Scientific American, January 2023)


Steven Cummings & Clifford Rosen:
An estimated one third or more of US adults 60 years of age or older take vitamin D supplements, not including those who take multivitamins or other compounds containing vitamin D.
Yet controversy continues about its overall benefits.
In this issue of the Journal, LeBoff and colleagues report findings from an ancillary study of the Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial (VITAL), which extend the results of that trial; taken together, VITAL and this ancillary study show that vitamin supplements do not have important health benefits in the general population of older adults, even in those with low 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels.
(VITAL Findings — A Decisive Verdict on Vitamin D Supplementation, New England Journal of Medicine, 28 July 2022)


Michelle Obama (1964):
Emotions are not plans.
They don't solve problems or right any wrongs.
[Be] careful about letting them guide you.
Rage can be a dirty windshield.
Hurt is like a broken steering wheel. …
It you don't do something constructive with them, they'll take you straight into a ditch. …

Going high … happens over the course of a lifetime, the course of a generation.
[It] is demonstrative, a commitment to showing your children, your friends, your colleagues, and your community what it looks like to live with love, and operate with decency.
(The Light We Carry, 2022, pp 276‒7)

Clive Hamilton

The greatest speeches never heard

The Monster Study

You Bloody Fool

The Control Problem

The Man Cave

Harmony Day
John Howard (1963):
I do not accept that there is underlying racism in this country …
(Response to the Cronulla Riots, 2005)

Why the Past 10 Years of American Life Have Been Uniquely Stupid
Jonathan Haidt (1939):
People who think differently and are willing to speak up if they disagree with you make you smarter, almost as if they are extensions of your own brain.
People who try to silence or intimidate their critics make themselves stupider, almost as if they are shooting darts into their own brain.

February 8, 2023

Lucy in the Sky with Diamonds

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Who controls the Past controls the Future
Who controls the Present controls the Past


George Orwell (1903 – 50), Nineteen Eight-Four, 1949.


The struggle of Man against Power
Is the struggle of Memory against Forgetting


Milan Kundera (1929), The Book of Laughter and Forgetting, 1979.


In Beleriand in those days the Elves walked, and the rivers flowed, and the stars shone, and the night-flowers gave forth their scents; and the beauty of Melian was as the noon, and the beauty of Lúthien was as the dawn in spring.

— John Tolkien (1892 – 1973), The Silmarillion, 1977.

Charles Manson (1934 – 2017):
[On release from prison in 1967, Manson] was transferred to the supervision of criminology doctoral researcher and federal probation officer Roger Smith [in San Francisco.]
… Smith worked at the Haight Ashbury Free Medical Clinic (HAFMC), which Manson and his family frequented throughout their stay in the Haight.
Roger Smith, as well as the HAFMC's founder David E Smith, received funding from the National Institutes of Health, and reportedly the CIA to study the effects of drugs like LSD and methamphetamine on the counterculture movement in Haight–Ashbury.
The patients at the clinic became subjects of their research, including Manson and his expanding group of (mostly) female followers …

David Smith … wrote that the change in Manson's personality during this time "was the most abrupt Roger Smith had observed in his entire professional career."…
David Smith claims that Manson attempted to reprogram [his followers] minds to "submit totally to his will" through the use of "LSD and … unconventional sexual practices" that would turn his followers into "empty vessels that would accept anything he poured." …
[By] April 1968, Manson had attracted 20 or so followers, all under the supervision of his parole officer Roger Smith and many of the staff at the HAFMC.
(Wikipedia, 13 February 2023)


Helter Skelter:
… Manson often spoke to the members of his Family about Helter Skelter in the months leading up to the murders of Sharon Tate and Leno and Rosemary LaBianca in August 1969, an apocalyptic war arising from racial tensions between Black and White people.
This involved reference to music of the Beatles, particularly songs from their 1968 "White Album", and the New Testament's Book of Revelation.
(Wikipedia, 15 February 2023)


Ernst Mach (1838 – 1916):
I do not believe that atoms exist.

Being Part of the Solution

Stochastic Parrots

Living to 100

The Biggest Losers

Division vs Consensus


Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)


The unnatural and increasingly rapid growth of the feeble-minded and insane classes constitutes a national and race danger which is impossible to exagerate.

(Letter to Prime Minister Asquith)


We shall not flag or fail.
We shall go on to the end.
We shall fight in France, we shall fight on the seas and oceans, we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air; we shall defend our Island, whatever the cost may be.
We shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender.
And even if, which I do not for a moment believe, this Island or a large part of it were subjugated and starving, then our Empire beyond the seas, armed and guarded by the British Fleet, would carry on the struggle, until, in God's good time, the New World, with all its power and might, steps forth to the rescue and the liberation of the Old.

(Speech in the House of Commons, 4 June 1940)


Upon this battle depends the survival of Christian civilisation.
Upon it depends our own British life and the long continuity of our institutions and our Empire.
The whole fury and might of the enemy must very soon be turned on us now.
Hitler knows that he will have to break us in this island or lose the war.
If we can stand up to him, all Europe may be free and the life of the world may move forward into broad, sunlit uplands.
But if we fail, then the whole world, including the United States, including all that we have known and cared for, will sink into the abyss of a new Dark Age, made more sinister, and perhaps more protracted, by the lights of perverted science.
Let us therefore brace ourselves to our duties, and so bear ourselves that, if the British Empire and its Commonwealth last for a thousand years, men will still say,
This was their finest hour.
(Speech in the House of Commons, 18 June 1940)

January 1, 2023

Not All Those Who Wander Are Lost

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All that is gold does not glitter,
Not all those who wander are lost;
The old that is strong does not wither,
Deep roots are not reached by the frost.

From the ashes a fire shall be woken,
A light from the shadows shall spring;
Renewed shall be blade that was broken,
The crownless again shall be king.


— John Tolkien (1892 – 1973), The Riddle of Strider,
The Lord of the Rings, 1954.


Every time I change wives, I should burn the last one.
That way I’d be rid of them.
They wouldn’t be around to complicate my existence.
(Maybe that would bring back my youth, too.)
You kill the woman and you wipe out the past she represents.


Pablo Picasso (1881 – 1973)


[For] young ladies will look forward to being married, and will jostle each other in the race to the altar, and will avail themselves of all opportunities of displaying their own attractions to the best advantage, down to the very end of time as they have done from its beginning.

Charles Dickens (1812 – 70), Nicholas Nickleby, 1839.

(Jim Endersby, Women in Science Fiction, 2021)


Dear Miss Ford,

Women do not do any of the creative work in connection with preparing the cartoons for the screen, as the work is performed entirely by young men.
For this reason girls are not considered for the training school.

The only work open to women consists of tracing the characters on clear celluloid sheets with India ink and filling in the tracings on the reverse side with paint according to directions.

(Walt Disney Productions, 7 June 1958)


Charles Darwin (1809 – 82):
[Among women] the powers of intuition, of rapid perception, and perhaps of imitation, are more strongly marked than in man. …
[These] faculties are characteristic of the lower races and therefore of a past and lower state of civilisation.
(The Descent of Man, and Selection in Relation to Sex, 1871)

Andrew Tate vs Greta Thunberg
The Origin of COVID

No Sparrow Falls

The Batavi

Digital Diva

The Search For Dark Matter

Hugh Morgan: Master of Denial

The Reptilian Elite

The Latrobe Valley

Ninja and Blankie Spiders

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